Impacto dos setores econômicos do Ceará sobre o sistema de transportes e armazenagem estadual: Uma abordagem sob vetores auto regressivos (VAR)

Abstract

The means of transport and storage have the main function of transporting and storing stocks, providing capital great mobility and fluidity. From then on, all branches of the economy created links of dependence with these activities responsible for the movement and accumulation of goods. Understanding and analyzing their relationship with other economic sectors is essential, above all, to identify the magnitude of the impacts of these sectors on the transport and storage system. So, the main objective of this work will be to estimate the impact of Ceará's economic sectors on the state's transport and storage modes, based on Auto Regressive Vectors (VAR) models. The empirical analysis conducted is in line with the theoretical findings, showing that the past values of the volume of transport and storage services, as well as market situations in the sector itself, in addition to the industrial performance of Ceará, prove to be important explanatory sources for the trajectory of the volume of state transport and storage services for subsequent periods.